He / They
For Biden now. I’ve updated my comment above with the list and my assessments.
I do think Lichtman’s right about debates not changing outcomes, tho
What confuses me is how debates don’t play into whether a candidate is considered charismatic (questions 12/13).
His model was previously based entirely on predicting the popular vote. Now he’s switched it to just predict the winner based on EC delegates. I think we’ll all be thrilled if Trump loses in November (or ideally, just plain dies), but a statistical model that doesn’t factor in things like Republicans trying to pull fake or rogue elector hijinks doesn’t fill me with confidence. And who knows what SCOTUS will do if it’s thrown to them (Lichtman also predicted Al Gore’s ‘win’).
Also, looking at the list, I’m pretty sure more than 6 are false:
With the very notable (and relevant) exception of… 2016.
I think if you’re in a Blue state, you’ll be safe. It’s the folks in Blue enclaves in Red states, like Austin, El Paso, Atlanta, that I’m really worried for.
This is literally 2016 repeating itself.
I really hate being right about the worst fucking stuff.
Biden should never have been put up again, and his performance is gonna enthuse absolutely zero non-political-junkie normies to vote for him.
With states being as voter-suppressed/gerrymandered (or however you prefer to describe the electoral college bullshit) as they are, Dems cannot afford to be slightly ahead. Hillary was slightly ahead. You have to be WAY ahead, and Biden’s not.
Locker room humor generally refers to talk between guys, which could have sexual undertones, but isn’t normally something I’d think of as “sexually-oriented”.
And flirting can range all the way from smiling long at someone at a cafe or calling them ‘cutie’ in conversation, to me spanking my s.o. as they walk by in a sexy outfit and telling them they’re gonna get punished if they keep distracting me from work- so there’s a huge range in there, some of which I’d definitely consider sexting, if texted to someone.
Frankly, I have zero sympathy for him, because it’s very easy not to interact over direct message with fans at all, much less underage ones.
I’ve worked customer-interfacing jobs that required a high level of direct, personal relationship-building before (sometimes even *gasp* with people I found attractive!), and I never once felt compelled to take those communications into a private space, and there was never even a potential for those people to have been kids.
You don’t “stumble into” private messages with a minor that “get out of hand”.
There’s not one. Sexting is very broad, it does not have to be pictures or direct references to boning. Any sexually-oriented text communication can be considered sexting.
Yeah, this isn’t going to get any easier. Right now KSA is mostly blaming “unauthorized” pilgrims, saying that they did not have any air conditioned hotel rooms to escape the heat in, but I think given the very wide range of reported countries affected, they are just minimizing anger.
The Middle East is going to get more and more dangerously hot, and I’m worried this is going to start being more normal during Hajj.
Certain British accents (like a London accent) have an ‘aw’ in particular sound like ‘or’. Not sure about Australian.
Grim Dawn is my favorite ARPG since Nox.
I’ve played Last Epoch, PoE, D1/2/3, and a LOT of others, and Grim Dawn just knocks it out of the part for me. I really want more from Crate, once Farthest Frontier is wrapped up.
Businesses are not moral entities, and the sooner people stop expecting them to be, the sooner people can start pushing for regulations that control and limit them, instead of trying to “work with” them.
I like “Bees” best. Simple and easy.
I’m confused. Are Feiglin, Ben-Gvir, and Smotrich not Israeli?
Him quoting Hitler isn’t even the main issue in this case (to me), it’s really what he’s using the quote to justify, which is the expulsion of Palestinians from Palestine/ Gaza, which is, as the article demonstrates, a much more broadly-held viewpoint among Israelis, including ones who unarguably do have a lot of political power.
Lastly, if there are not a lot of public quotes condemning this coming out of Israel, for them to quote, isn’t that itself kind of a problem?
Just because something is built out of love does not make it safe, and attestation is about safety. You wouldn’t trust an un-attested surgical device, just because there’s a really positive community around its design.
Signal is a life-or-death app for some people.
I’m going by development budgets, not scope.
I wish people would consider Rimworld and Kenshi AAA, and CoD ‘A’, based on scope or hours of playtime offered. :)
If nothing else, it’s useful to see the double-standard laid so bare.
8,700 child casualties in a 7-year period when there is ostensibly no war going on, but that’s not enough to condemn them.
Noticably, that works out to a little more than 1,200 casualties a year, just of children, meaning adult women and men were not even counted.
But of course that specific number is only shocking, and only justifies defensive action, when Hamas does it.
It was always just a distraction to divert news from asking who was stopping aid getting in, by giving them a narrative about “need to build this pier first”. Sleight of hand for propagandists to exploit.
Thanks for the detailed breakdown!
Starbound is I think very much reliant on you wanting to play it as a sandbox. It definitely has a lot of shortcomings. It sounds like you didn’t play it with mods, or at least with Frackin’ Universe, because FU solves most of the QoL pain points from the vanilla game (like movement being slow). The boss arenas actually used to allow you to build in them, but it completely ruined the difficulty; you could go into any boss room, build a box around yourself, and just whittle them down imperviously. While that might be someone’s preference, I don’t fault the devs for not wanting that, and that’s pretty standard for games to remove ‘cheesing’ exploits for bosses.
Starsector is really interesting to me, because I don’t feel that way about it at all.
I almost never end up running out of command points, if only because I only need to re-task ships if something is going wrong. Usually if I’m running low on them, it’s because I’m trying to kill off incoming DPS by focusing fire on one ship at a time, and at that point I should probably be retreating anyways. I can’t speak to the skill tree changes in detail, because honestly I mostly rely on them for the larger fleet bonuses, or tech unlocks (e.g. AI). They never struck me as being impactful enough to make my ship into a ‘hero unit’, so I never tried to see if they could.
The combat is definitely (imho) about fleet composition rather than fleet control.
But really, combat is only one small part of the game to me. Exploration, missions, building up colonies, looting ruins, etc etc. That’s what I really love about Starsector, and what sets it apart to me.
I’m sure I’ll rotate back around eventually! :)
I don’t think working “across the aisle” is really what this is about; I think this is purely about voters’ perceptions of them as people. But in either case, Biden sure isn’t winning anyone over with his personality who wasn’t already firmly center-right Neoliberal.
Gaza and Afghanistan are polar opposite reactions, depending on what flank of the Democratic party you’re on:
Understood. I guess for me my anger is more important right now, because this was so avoidable, and Trump feels like he’s close to coming back because of the DNC’s endless hubris (again). And I’ve already seen people trying to somehow blame the anti-genocide/ pro-Palestinian protesters for this over on Reddit, since they reflexively scapegoat any and all centrist Dem failures, and they don’t have a Bernie or Nader to scapegoat this time.