Democrats won back a majority in the Michigan House and restored their party’s full control of state governmentTuesday thanks to victories in two special elections.
Mai Xiong won the special election in the 13th District, which covers Warren and part of Detroit, while Peter Herzberg won in the 25th District, which contains the cities of Wayne and Westland. Both candidates were favorites in the heavily Democratic districts.
The lower chamber has been tied 54-54 between Democratic and Republican lawmakers since November, when two Democratic representatives vacated their seats after winning mayoral races in their hometowns.
Democrats flipped both chambers in the 2022 midterms while maintaining control of the governor’s office to win a trifecta for the first time in 40 years. They moved quickly to roll back decades of Republican measures and implement the party’s agenda in their first year, including overhauling the state’s gun laws.
Polls keep showing that the democrats aren’t going to do well in the next election, but every actual election they’re over-performing.
I’m still nervous, and will continue to push and vote as if our lives depend on it, but… I can’t help but be a little optimistic.
Nationwide Democrats have been beating polls by 9+ points since Roe v. Wade was overturned.
Over 4 years now. Either Big Media wants a horse race and are targeting polls or they no longer know how to poll accurately.
Polling in state-government races and special election has always been terrible because there isn’t the money to do good polling several times. +/-10 points is within the historical performance for these types of races. Stop looking for conspiracies everywhere.
I’d say your “horse race” theory is likely correct.
It creates unease and uncertainty which some people will tune in more for longer. It’s all about the almighty engagement metrics
Polls had Hillary walking into the White House in 2016. They also anticipated a tight race in 2020 and Biden solidly beat Trump. It seems like polls aren’t very accurate anymore. Don’t forget to vote
They haven’t been a proper predictor since someone stole the presidential election.
He had a handy victory in total votes but his critical win electoral margins were low. Wisconsin .6% Arizona .3% Georgia .2%. He would have squeaked by with just Wisconsin but those are some tight races all under 1%.
As far as who won the election it was a tight race. As far as total votes it wasn’t a tight race.
Couldn’t be prouder of my fellow Alabamians. Granted, you wouldn’t be out to lunch if you said that Monica Lands would have had any chance whatsoever in the areas surrounding Huntsville and Madison, but it’s pretty awesome that she won.