jeffw@lemmy.world to politics @lemmy.world · 2 days agoHistorian who predicted 9 of the last 10 election results says Democrats shouldn't drop Joe Bidenwww.usatoday.comexternal-linkmessage-square91fedilinkarrow-up1365arrow-down144file-text
arrow-up1321arrow-down1external-linkHistorian who predicted 9 of the last 10 election results says Democrats shouldn't drop Joe Bidenwww.usatoday.comjeffw@lemmy.world to politics @lemmy.world · 2 days agomessage-square91fedilinkfile-text
minus-squareEnsign_Crab@lemmy.worldlinkfedilinkEnglisharrow-up5arrow-down1·2 days ago The only person to get that point in this century was Obama, and only in 2008. The only one to win the Democratic primaries, at least.
minus-squareFlowVoid@lemmy.worldlinkfedilinkEnglisharrow-up5·2 days agoThis system is only meant to predict the general election. It ignores any primary candidates who were not nominated.
minus-squareEnsign_Crab@lemmy.worldlinkfedilinkEnglisharrow-up4arrow-down2·2 days agoSeems to me that the model has some blind spots.
minus-squareFlowVoid@lemmy.worldlinkfedilinkEnglisharrow-up5arrow-down1·2 days agoIt does what it means to do.
minus-squareEnsign_Crab@lemmy.worldlinkfedilinkEnglisharrow-up4arrow-down3·2 days agoUntil it doesn’t. Democrats used to trust polls, too. Now they only trust them if they confirm existing biases.
The only one to win the Democratic primaries, at least.
This system is only meant to predict the general election. It ignores any primary candidates who were not nominated.
Seems to me that the model has some blind spots.
It does what it means to do.
Until it doesn’t.
Democrats used to trust polls, too. Now they only trust them if they confirm existing biases.